INITIAL PRODUCTION DATA INACCURATE PREDICTOR OF EUR - DO OPERATORS FUDGE THEIR NUMBERS? - GoHaynesvilleShale.com2024-03-29T05:24:04Zhttps://gohaynesvilleshale.com/forum/topics/initial-production-data-not-accurate-predictor-of-eu-do-operators?commentId=2117179%3AComment%3A3458469&x=1&feed=yes&xn_auth=noAgree , SB. Once Haynesviile…tag:gohaynesvilleshale.com,2015-01-29:2117179:Comment:34584692015-01-29T00:31:31.719ZSkip Peel - Mineral Consultanthttps://gohaynesvilleshale.com/profile/ilandman
<p>Agree , SB. Once Haynesviile operators adopted restricted choke programs IPs went down and EURs went up. Now with longer laterals IPs look somewhat modest but EURs have increased again.</p>
<p>Agree , SB. Once Haynesviile operators adopted restricted choke programs IPs went down and EURs went up. Now with longer laterals IPs look somewhat modest but EURs have increased again.</p> I don't disagree that there i…tag:gohaynesvilleshale.com,2015-01-28:2117179:Comment:34583672015-01-28T17:32:19.925ZSpring Branch,mineral ownerhttps://gohaynesvilleshale.com/profile/SpringBranch
<p>I don't disagree that there is likely intent to deceive early in the life of developing plays, but that deception can work both ways.........i.e. understating IP's for competitive reasons. There is a long lateral Haynesville well in San Augustine Co., TX, named Banana Slugs 1H that had an IP of 15.332 million/day on a 17/64 choke with a flowing pressure of 8342 psi. On the surface (other than the pressure) just a good slightly above average Haynesville well. The Banana Slugs has produced…</p>
<p>I don't disagree that there is likely intent to deceive early in the life of developing plays, but that deception can work both ways.........i.e. understating IP's for competitive reasons. There is a long lateral Haynesville well in San Augustine Co., TX, named Banana Slugs 1H that had an IP of 15.332 million/day on a 17/64 choke with a flowing pressure of 8342 psi. On the surface (other than the pressure) just a good slightly above average Haynesville well. The Banana Slugs has produced 7.6 BCF in it's first 19 months and is still making over 300 million/month. I'm not aware of any other Haynesville well that will top it, but plenty reported greater IP's than 15 million/day.</p> Most operators in the Haynesv…tag:gohaynesvilleshale.com,2015-01-28:2117179:Comment:34583622015-01-28T17:15:22.996ZSpring Branch,mineral ownerhttps://gohaynesvilleshale.com/profile/SpringBranch
<p>Most operators in the Haynesville did report choke size and flowing pressure when they reported IP's which certainly helped a good bit. At this point, the EUR's of different geographic locations within the Haynesville are pretty well understood, depending on lateral length. I am referring to the Haynesville only here.</p>
<p>Most operators in the Haynesville did report choke size and flowing pressure when they reported IP's which certainly helped a good bit. At this point, the EUR's of different geographic locations within the Haynesville are pretty well understood, depending on lateral length. I am referring to the Haynesville only here.</p> I recall that reply, CMK. I…tag:gohaynesvilleshale.com,2015-01-26:2117179:Comment:34574352015-01-26T19:53:51.993ZSkip Peel - Mineral Consultanthttps://gohaynesvilleshale.com/profile/ilandman
<p>I recall that reply, CMK. I think it is appropriate to remind members that the thirty and ninety day production numbers are a much better gauge of EUR. It's difficult to know the details of how an operator measures a 24 hour flow rate whether it is the first 24 hours or the best 24 hours over some days accounting for flowback of frac fluids (well clean up).</p>
<p>I recall that reply, CMK. I think it is appropriate to remind members that the thirty and ninety day production numbers are a much better gauge of EUR. It's difficult to know the details of how an operator measures a 24 hour flow rate whether it is the first 24 hours or the best 24 hours over some days accounting for flowback of frac fluids (well clean up).</p> A lot of the IP reports are a…tag:gohaynesvilleshale.com,2015-01-26:2117179:Comment:34576132015-01-26T19:47:41.877ZCheckmatekinghttps://gohaynesvilleshale.com/profile/JohnWilliams
<p>A lot of the IP reports are a joke, see my comments on the SM energy well from a week ago. </p>
<p>A lot of the IP reports are a joke, see my comments on the SM energy well from a week ago. </p>