What $9 Natural Gas Means for the Haynesville Land/Mineral Owner--My Top 10 - GoHaynesvilleShale.com2024-03-29T07:07:40Zhttps://gohaynesvilleshale.com/forum/topics/what-9-natural-gas-means-for-the-haynesville-land-mineral-owner?commentId=2117179%3AComment%3A4038659&feed=yes&xn_auth=noThanks for the amplification.…tag:gohaynesvilleshale.com,2023-03-20:2117179:Comment:40386592023-03-20T16:38:33.826ZMBhttps://gohaynesvilleshale.com/profile/MBG
<p>Thanks for the amplification. Good info.</p>
<p>Thanks for the amplification. Good info.</p> Could be. Every township has…tag:gohaynesvilleshale.com,2023-03-17:2117179:Comment:40382592023-03-17T19:21:43.923ZSkip Peel - Mineral Consultanthttps://gohaynesvilleshale.com/profile/ilandman
<p>Could be. Every township has a Section 36. Take your pick.</p>
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<p>Could be. Every township has a Section 36. Take your pick.</p>
<p></p> maybe 35-12n-13w. CHK is dri…tag:gohaynesvilleshale.com,2023-03-17:2117179:Comment:40380732023-03-17T19:05:08.405ZSteve Phttps://gohaynesvilleshale.com/profile/StevePorter
<p>maybe 35-12n-13w. CHK is drilling wells in 25/36.</p>
<p>maybe 35-12n-13w. CHK is drilling wells in 25/36.</p> I get a lot of contacts from…tag:gohaynesvilleshale.com,2023-03-17:2117179:Comment:40381662023-03-17T00:05:32.466ZSkip Peel - Mineral Consultanthttps://gohaynesvilleshale.com/profile/ilandman
<p>I get a lot of contacts from members with similar questions like, why am I getting offers now? Something must be happening! The answer can be public record indications of an operator looking to drill new wells. However, as often as not, it's just that many investors are looking to acquire mineral rights prospective for the Haynesville Shale (often rights that also have proven Bossier Shale reserves) and there is no public record indication of new wells in the offing. There doesn't need…</p>
<p>I get a lot of contacts from members with similar questions like, why am I getting offers now? Something must be happening! The answer can be public record indications of an operator looking to drill new wells. However, as often as not, it's just that many investors are looking to acquire mineral rights prospective for the Haynesville Shale (often rights that also have proven Bossier Shale reserves) and there is no public record indication of new wells in the offing. There doesn't need to be "something going on" to get offers to buy your mineral rights. Offers are going out by the hundreds every week for every portion of the proven Haynesville Shale fairway. And even some for portions that are unproven. And even by some mineral companies that obviously don't know what they are doing. At lot of buyers from other states are somewhat clueless about LA mineral laws and where the Haynesville is proven and where it is not. Sellers beware.</p>
<p></p> Brent, what section-township-…tag:gohaynesvilleshale.com,2023-03-16:2117179:Comment:40380702023-03-16T19:34:28.471ZSkip Peel - Mineral Consultanthttps://gohaynesvilleshale.com/profile/ilandman
<p>Brent, what section-township-range?</p>
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<p>Brent, what section-township-range?</p>
<p></p> I've received six phone calls…tag:gohaynesvilleshale.com,2023-03-16:2117179:Comment:40379752023-03-16T19:28:53.433ZMBhttps://gohaynesvilleshale.com/profile/MBG
<p>I've received six phone calls in the past 4 weeks regarding a mineral sale for Section 36, just outside of Mansfield. Two of the calls were today. It certainly seems like something's brewing for a drill in the section. Do you or anyone associated with Rumor Control have any thoughts? Thanks, Brent</p>
<p>I've received six phone calls in the past 4 weeks regarding a mineral sale for Section 36, just outside of Mansfield. Two of the calls were today. It certainly seems like something's brewing for a drill in the section. Do you or anyone associated with Rumor Control have any thoughts? Thanks, Brent</p> I was typing a very similar r…tag:gohaynesvilleshale.com,2022-08-18:2117179:Comment:40329212022-08-18T00:08:09.055ZRyan Howrishhttps://gohaynesvilleshale.com/profile/RyanHowrish
<p>I was typing a very similar response Skip. The reported test data is for a snapshot in time. On its own, the data is not that useful. The trend in the changes in rate/volume per unit drawdown is more valuable to understanding well performance than a single rate or choke size data point. </p>
<p>I was typing a very similar response Skip. The reported test data is for a snapshot in time. On its own, the data is not that useful. The trend in the changes in rate/volume per unit drawdown is more valuable to understanding well performance than a single rate or choke size data point. </p> It is likely accurate for tha…tag:gohaynesvilleshale.com,2022-08-17:2117179:Comment:40330682022-08-17T23:54:44.618ZSkip Peel - Mineral Consultanthttps://gohaynesvilleshale.com/profile/ilandman
<p>It is likely accurate for that one test on that one day according to the head of the Shreveport District of OOC. In between tests, who knows?</p>
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<p>It is likely accurate for that one test on that one day according to the head of the Shreveport District of OOC. In between tests, who knows?</p>
<p></p> Good points, Ryan. Thanks. …tag:gohaynesvilleshale.com,2022-08-17:2117179:Comment:40330632022-08-17T21:38:51.952ZSkip Peel - Mineral Consultanthttps://gohaynesvilleshale.com/profile/ilandman
<p>Good points, Ryan. Thanks. I'll add that in addition to a lack of pressure data, we also only have sporadic choke setting data on SONRIS. There is an initial production flow test and then a test approximately every six months or more thereafter. An early flow test can be deceiving for long lateral wells that can take weeks to clean up and reach maximum flow.</p>
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<p>Good points, Ryan. Thanks. I'll add that in addition to a lack of pressure data, we also only have sporadic choke setting data on SONRIS. There is an initial production flow test and then a test approximately every six months or more thereafter. An early flow test can be deceiving for long lateral wells that can take weeks to clean up and reach maximum flow.</p>
<p></p> There are several factors tha…tag:gohaynesvilleshale.com,2022-08-17:2117179:Comment:40328132022-08-17T21:30:52.518ZRyan Howrishhttps://gohaynesvilleshale.com/profile/RyanHowrish
<p>There are several factors that impact the early-time (first year) decline rate. As ShaleGeo mentioned, the completion designs are far more intense in recent years relative to wells completed in the 2009-2013 period. The combination of longer laterals, tighter cluster/stage spacing, higher proppant loading, and significantly increased fluid loading has increased the early-time productivity of new wells. </p>
<p>One often overlooked factor is the different operating philosophies of the…</p>
<p>There are several factors that impact the early-time (first year) decline rate. As ShaleGeo mentioned, the completion designs are far more intense in recent years relative to wells completed in the 2009-2013 period. The combination of longer laterals, tighter cluster/stage spacing, higher proppant loading, and significantly increased fluid loading has increased the early-time productivity of new wells. </p>
<p>One often overlooked factor is the different operating philosophies of the different operators. Without flowing pressure data this is difficult evaluate, however the shape of the decline curve provides some information. Some operators intentionally restrict early-time flow to a certain rate or pressure drop fearing that the wells will be damaged if they are flowed too hard. These wells generally have a lower decline rate until the surface pressures approach the gathering system pressure. Other operators are more aggressive early in the life of wells which yield higher initial rates but also higher decline rates once the well is unable to maintain the high initial rate. The gathering system or wellsite facility capacity can also impact the gas rate.</p>
<p>In a $9+ gas price environment I would prefer higher rates today knowing that also brings higher decline rates.</p>