US LNG Exporters Race to Tie Up Financing as Surplus Looms

The next few years are critical for the nation’s latest wave of liquefied natural gas terminals, with the market set to tip into oversupply

Author of the article:  Bloomberg News  Ruth Liao  Published Sep 05, 2025

(Bloomberg) — US developers are racing to cash in on the nation’s natural-gas export boom while they still can. 

The massive US buildout of terminals that process and ship liquefied natural gas, or LNG, has transformed the nation into the world’s top exporter of the fuel. But plants still in development are facing a tight deadline: By 2027, global LNG supply will exceed demand, BloombergNEF estimates. By 2030, US rival Qatar will have finished its own years-long LNG buildout, further damping appetite for new terminals. And by 2031, a massive pipeline expansion by  Gazprom PJSC could begin funneling more of Russia’s natural gas to China, possibly displacing as much as 40 million metric tons of LNG demand per year, according to BloombergNEF.

Four US projects with the capacity to export 63 million tons of LNG a year are still awaiting final investment decisions. Even the $35 billion in US plants already under construction face headwinds amid a tight labor market that’s threatening to push back timelines. Golden Pass LNG, being jointly developed in Texas by Exxon Mobil Corp. and QatarEnergy LNG, is coming online in 2025, one year later than scheduled following a worker shortage and the bankruptcy of one of its contractors. 

Louisiana LNG (Under construction)

  • Developer: Woodside Energy
  • Capacity: 27.6 million tons per year

Woodside Energy announced its $17.5 billion final investment decision to build Louisiana LNG in late April, after the company acquired Tellurian Inc. in 2024. The facility is under construction in Calcasieu Pass, Louisiana, and targeted to come online by 2029.

Corpus Christi LNG Expansion (Under construction)

  • Developer: Cheniere Energy Inc. 
  • Capacity: 3 million tons per year

Cheniere Energy Inc., the largest American exporter, last month announced a $2.9 billion expansion of its Corpus Christi plant in south Texas. Two new production trains are slated to start toward the end of the decade, which would boost total Corpus Christi capacity to 30 million tons a year, including efficiency gains.

CP2 LNG (Under construction)

  • Developer: Venture Global
  • Capacity: 28 million tons a year

Venture Global’s $15.1 billion CP2 project in Louisiana is its third export facility, due to start in 2027. Although a permitting pause imposed by President Joe Biden delayed the project last year, President Donald Trump lifted the moratorium soon after starting his term. 

Rio Grande LNG Expansion (Awaiting final decision)

  • Developer: NextDecade Corp.
  • Capacity: 24 million tons a year

NextDecade Corp., which is currently constructing the first 18 million-ton-a-year phase of Rio Grande LNG in south Texas, is looking to secure funding for its two next trains, which would together add 12 million tons of capacity per year. The company’s deal with contractor Bechtel to build the expansion trains is slated to expire in September, by which time NextDecade expects to commit to the funding. More trains are also in development, but in the permitting phase.

Port Arthur LNG Expansion (Awaiting final decision)

  • Developer: Sempra
  • Capacity: 13 million tons a year

Sempra, which is building its two-train Port Arthur project in east Texas, is looking to expand to its second phase, doubling capacity with two more trains. Sempra has not provided guidance on when a final investment decision would be made.

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If the answer to the question is yes, what does that mean for the future price of Haynesville Shale gas?

The nat gas market is very disappointing from a mineral owner standpoint. The Haynesville play is about 17 years old. I would have never thought that since then, other than the Ukraine war spike in 2022 that we would have $3 gas in 2025. And that is gross. Net is much less than that. When we had significantly long periods of $4 - $5 gas (gross), it just didn't seem realistic to expect such low prices that we have now. The referenced article talking about a continued oversupply is a major bummer!

A factor that is never mentioned is that the global economies could stagnate. Even permanently. It's possible that the glory days from an economic growth standpoint are behind us. And that we won't return. Yikes! It seems that everyone assumes that perpetual growth is the norm and maybe it was for a few centuries but then we have a planet with limited resources. Everyone seems to think that we (globally) will always have plenty of whatever to make the wheels turn but I, sadly, don't agree. Limited supply should mean that price goes up but it sure hasn't happened with nat gas because we, apparently, have too much in relation to demand.

The lack of discipline by major independent E&P companies in the first ten or so years of the Haynesville Shale play caused repeated oversupply situations and depressed natural gas prices.  Now that a semblance of discipline has arrived through consolidation, the play is about half way through its economic life span.  And operators are looking for step out opportunities to keep the play growing.  The billions, if not trillions, of dollars lost for both operators and mineral owners were caused by O&G executives chasing the traditional strategies of continually increasing reserves. And piling up debt in the process. It took a long time to prove that as a failed strategy.

I remember having a conversation with a friend in 2008 once the Haynesville busted loose and said that the oil/gas industry seems to always shoot themselves in the foot in that they overdrill in a good play or market and it leads to oversupply.

I find it interesting that some bigshot, might have been Aethon CEO, not sure, who said fairly recently that we need $5 gas for Haynesville development. I can only wish to see that based on what I am seeing these days!

I think the chances of $5 gas in the near term are slim and none.  Drilling discipline may increase prices somewhat over the next few years but what happens when all that LNG capacity comes on line?  Are we headed for the greatest period of stranded assets in the history of the industry?  O&G seems to have never learned the lesson.

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