Take a look at ser #240013. Does this look like a typical production decline in the area?

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Bill, I am unsure what is typical for that general area but nothing appears unusual for the months reported.

LEASE\UNIT\WELL PRODUCTION
RPT DATE LUW CODE STORAGE FAC DOC USE WELL CNT OPENING STK OIL PROD(BBL) GAS PROD(MCF) DISPOSITION CLOSING STK PARISH
03/01/2010 615874 1 0 0 218237 0 0 DE SOTO
02/01/2010 615874 1 0 0 232381 0 0 DE SOTO
01/01/2010 615874 1 0 0 300039 0 0 DE SOTO
12/01/2009 615874 1 0 0 383217 0 0 DE SOTO
11/01/2009 615874 1 0 0 310707 0 0 DE SOTO
thanks. does the prod really drop 85% the first year?
Depends on the choke setting. A number of operators are experimenting with or have adopted tighter chokes settings. At this time there is insufficient production data and significant variances in the quality of the shale across the play as indicated by Petrohawk's EUR map to say for sure. 85% is possible but probably on the high end. The average range is probably in the 70-80% range.
thereabout

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