Yeah, I read it too, BD,poi. I kept looking for Arthur Berman's name in it. LOL! Too much inaccurate information and poor analysis here to address in a single post. I'll take my shot and then let others have a turn.Deborah Rogers, a member of the advisory committee of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, recalled saying that in a May 2010 telephone call to a senior economist at the Reserve, Mine K. Yucel. “We need to take a close look at this right away,” she added.
A former stockbroker with Merrill Lynch, Ms. Rogers said she started studying well data from shale companies in October 2009 after attending a speech by the chief executive of Chesapeake, Aubrey K. McClendon. The math was not adding up, Ms. Rogers said. Her research showed that wells were petering out faster than expected.
If Ms. Rogers was using data from October 2009, and not deleting the data from the early vertical wells, she came up with the same flawed analysis as Arthur Berman. No one attempting a fair and unbiased analysis would use any vertical well in their long term projection of Haynesville Shale production. The number of completed horizontal wells in Oct. '09 was too small for any accurate projection. And the fact that the technical ability to enhance production in all the unconventional resource plays has increased significantly is a given. Those incremental improvements in production and decreases in Finding and Developing costs will continue. Also the decline data in '09 was extremely sparse and predominantly from wells produced on more open chokes. There was no data on restricted choke production available at that time. And the industry had already publicized that these horizontal wells would have steep decline curves. They were not keeping it secret. Decline rate is less important than the quantity of gas produced. A background as a "former" stock broker and a member of the Federal Reserve Bank demonstrates no level of expertise associated with Ms. Rogers statements.
This article sponsored by OPEC and George Soros.
Seriously though, do yourself a favor and never read that liberal propaganda unless you're looking for dem talking points/agenda.
I thought this was interesting. Anyone seen production figures for a re-fraced horizontal well? Oh and that story is on todays front page.
"Mr. Pickens said that technological improvements — including hydrofracking wells more than once — are already making production more cost-effective, which is why some major companies like ExxonMobil have recently bought into shale gas."
I don't know, udt. I've never seen an example of what you describe. Vertical wells are rather simple to refrac. Horizontal wells are not. Les B. has posted on this topic a number of times in the past and IMO would be the best qualified member to answer. And explain.