Credit fears creep even into cash-rich oil sector

By JOHN PORRETTO
The Associated Press
Tuesday, December 2, 2008; 2:42 PM

HOUSTON -- Access to credit and the capital needed for exploration and production is the biggest obstacle facing oil companies in 2009, even more than lower crude and natural gas prices, a new survey shows.

Nearly 60 percent of chief financial officers at 100 U.S. oil and gas companies cited "credit capacity restraints, including access to capital" as their No. 1 financial challenge next year, according to the survey, released Tuesday by accounting firm BDO Seidman LLP.

Next on the list, at 21 percent, was falling oil or natural gas prices, the survey said.

Already, many smaller producers with constrained capital reserves have been stung by a credit crisis that's severely limited or even paralyzed their ability to finance new exploration and production.

Analysts have said some of those companies could be takeover targets for larger producers who've benefited from record commodity prices in recent years.

"I think some of the less well-financed, less well-managed companies are going to have critical problems during 2009," said Charles Dewhurst, who heads BDO Seidman's national energy industry practice.

Nearly three-quarters of the CFOs said they expect the ongoing economic crisis _ officially deemed a recession on Monday _ to impact their ability to borrow money or extend bank debt in 2009.

Only 26 percent said their companies had either significantly delayed or terminated oil or gas exploration projects in the past year. Among those who did, 80 percent cited "lack of capital to fund the project" as the reason.

These days, however, the entire industry is bracing for the fallout of a global economic recession that has sent oil prices sharply lower. Crude was trading below $50 a barrel Tuesday, a far cry from the record above $147 a barrel just five months ago.

"Energy companies have remained relatively unscathed by the downturn this year," Dewhurst said. "However, a storm front is gathering for 2009."

Producers large and small have slashed capital spending budgets for at least the coming year _ a troublesome trend for companies whose growth depends on finding new sources of fossil fuels.

Raymond James & Associates on Monday lowered its 2009 oil price forecast from $90 to $60 a barrel.

Dewhurst said the survey, conducted in October and November, included the large multinational oil giants as well as independent exploration and production companies. Independents concentrate solely on exploration and production, forgoing refining and marketing operations.

Among the survey's other findings:

_Most CFOs (63 percent) said their companies will maintain the number of workers in the field next year; 29 percent said they expect to increase levels at least somewhat, and 8 percent said they'll decrease field staff.

_Increasing demand for oil and gas both internationally (36 percent) and domestically (22 percent) were cited as the top potential drivers for overall growth next year. New production technologies to increase supply was third (17 percent).
© 2008 The Associated Press