Expected Surge in Turbine Manufacturing Complicated by Rising Costs, Uncertain Demand

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Excerpt.  Link to full article:  https://rbnenergy.com/i-will-wait-expected-surge-in-turbine-manufac...

Thursday, 05/29/2025 Published by: Lisa Shidler  rbnenergy.com

This may be the best time ever to be a manufacturer of natural gas turbines. The U.S. seems poised for a sharp increase in power demand in the coming years and order books are filling up, but it’s not all smooth sailing and significant headwinds remain. In today’s RBN blog, we will explore how rising costs, supply-chain constraints, long lead times and tariffs could impact turbine manufacturing and complicate efforts to expand gas-fired power generation. 

As we said recently in Only Happy When It Rains, there’s been a lot of talk recently about needing more electricity to meet the growing demands of electrification and data centers. Developers have been considering the full spectrum of power-generation sources — ranging from renewables to nuclear — but almost everyone understands that gas-fired plants will be a big part of the solution. A number of major gas producers and just about every big midstreamer with a gas pipeline network have been talking up their plans to serve these new power plants, and several gas-fired projects — many tied directly to data centers — have already been announced (see We Should Be Friends, Part 1 and Part 2). That has made acquiring the turbines needed to run a gas-fired power plant a priority — and a bigger challenge than it might appear.

 

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This is a good example of unforeseen and unintended consequences.  Both by our current administration and those that voted to put them in charge.  That is what happens when inexperienced leaders are in charge.  And when voters do little or no due diligence in how they cast their ballot.

Our supply chains have been stretched for years.  Shortages  were common on things during previous administrations.  Our manufacturing has decreased to an alarming amount at least to me anyway.   We need to be able to manufacture necessary items in the electrical, energy, defense, and medical industry.  Since the 1980's our ability to manufacture has been eroded.  Will tariffs bring that back all that back?  I highly doubt that.     But both political parities are to blame with this one.  

Marc, In my opinion the previous administration took steps to remedy some of those manufacturing and supply chain issues.  Looking back at this point is useless.  The current administration is undoing much of what was done to address those issues in prior congresses. Here is one irrefutable fact - American consumers have become addicted to cheap goods manufactured over seas.  They will not pay the considerably higher price for those same goods manufactured here.  You are right about those items that deal with our security and our competitive position for technology critical in the future.  One party was trying to do something about those issues.  The current administration either doesn't care about those issues or are in the process of making them substantially worse.

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