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Permalink Reply by Skip Peel - Mineral Consultant on November 18, 2010 at 4:30

For those members interested in monitoring when drilling and thus production will begin to decline, this is a good tool. For members who wish to review where current development activity is located, I suggest the Excel Spreadsheet, Haynesville Wells, Updated 11/17/2010. Use the link below and click on Haynesville Shale Resources and then the spreadsheet. Sort the spreadsheet by permit date from most recent to oldest. It's a great reference tool.

http://dnr.louisiana.gov/

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Permalink Reply by Skip Peel - Mineral Consultant on November 18, 2010 at 11:12

For those that prefer maps:

http://dnr.louisiana.gov/haynesvilleshale/haynesville.pdf

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Permalink Reply by Stevew on November 18, 2010 at 14:47

Thanks Skip - maybe I am dense, but I could not find the Excel spreadsheet at the link you gave.

Logger

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Permalink Reply by Skip Peel - Mineral Consultant on November 18, 2010 at 14:57

Click on this link: http://dnr.louisiana.gov/

Then look in the right hand column of the DNR Main Page for Haynesville Shale Resources (it's right under the red SONRIS logo). Click on it and then look for Haynesville Shale Wells, Updated 11/18/2010. If you click on it and don't get it, I guess you don't have MS Office/Excel installed on your computer. I hope this helps.

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Permalink Reply by P.G. on November 18, 2010 at 16:07

That opens in OpenOffice okay, which is a free download if someone doesn't have MS Office and don't want to buy it..
http://why.openoffice.org/

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Permalink Reply by Stevew on November 18, 2010 at 17:15

Duh, thanks Skip. It's me. I'm dense after working ... appreciate the response, it's a great place to click and watch your map change. I'll check it often.

Logger

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Permalink Reply by BirdDawg, plain ole' idiot on November 19, 2010 at 3:10

Skip,
Great maps. Thanks.
One thing I find interesting is that since August (which was the high point for "permitted, not drilling") to October, there has been a 15% drop in "permitted, not drilling". Could this be a signal of new production in the HA dropping in the months to come?

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Permalink Reply by Skip Peel - Mineral Consultant on November 19, 2010 at 3:43

Possibly. A few more months and we should know. However the inventory of wells that are listed as "Other Operation" is my short term concern. These wells in the terms of the Office of Conservation are "Waiting On Completion". That number is still on an upward trend and currently represents about 30% of all the HA wells permitted and drilled since the Play began three years ago. Even with increasing capacity for high pressure pumping services it may be the third quarter of next year before those wells are all turned to sales. IMO, if the pace of permitting slows significantly in the first two quarters of 2011 Haynesville production might begin to level off or even decline slightly sometime in 2012.

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Permalink Reply by Les Bamburg on November 19, 2010 at 4:25

BD, I do not believe the Haynesville Shale production will decline but rather the rate of growth will simply slow or the production rate will flatten. A good analogy is the Barnett Shale which is currently being maintained at ~ 5 Bcfd with 90 rigs or less than 50% of the peak rig count of 190.

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