PETROHAWK PROVIDES FOURTH QUARTER OPERATIONAL UPDATE - BY PR NEWSWIRE ("HAYNESVILLE SHALE SECTION EXCERPT)

Haynesville Shale

Petrohawk recently placed four additional wells online utilizing production practices consistent with previously reported wells. The initial production rates of these wells averaged 17.7 Mmcfe/d, detailed as follows:

* The Mack Hogan #4 (Bossier Parish, Section 3, 16N, 11W) had an initial production rate of 13.4 Mmcfe/d on a 24/64" choke with 6,350# flowing casing pressure.
* The Osborne 8 #3H (Bossier Parish, Section 8, 16N, 11W) had an initial production rate of 18.8 Mmcfe/d on a 24/64" choke with 6,800# flowing casing pressure.
* The Roos "A" #5 (Bossier Parish, Section 3, 16N, 11W) had an initial production rate of 15.1 Mmcfe/d on a 24/64" choke with 6,100# flowing casing pressure.
* The Griffith 11 #1 (DeSoto Parish, Section 11, 13N, 14W) had an initial production rate of 23.3 Mmcfe/d on a 28/64" choke with 7,550# flowing casing pressure. This well is a significant step-out to the southwest from existing completions.

Two Haynesville Shale completions, the Sample 4 #1 and the R.E. Smith Jr. 32 #1, experienced mechanical problems that resulted in lower than expected initial production rates. On the Sample 4 #1, a valve malfunctioned following completion, causing casing damage in the lateral portion of the well. The Company elected to produce the well on a 12/64" choke as a precaution against further wellbore damage. This well had an initial production rate of 5.4 Mmcfe/d with 7,020# flowing casing pressure. The R.E. Smith Jr. 32 #1 screened out halfway through completion due to the inadvertent firing of a perforating gun in the curve of the lateral. With only six stages of fracture stimulation, this well had an initial production rate of 11.1 Mmcfe/d on a 20/64" choke with 5,900# flowing casing pressure.

The Company is currently producing approximately 160 Mmcfe/d gross from the Haynesville Shale with 16 operated wells on production. Eleven operated wells have been on production 30 days or more, averaging 15.2 Mmcfe/d over their first 30 days of production. Eight operated wells have been on production 60 days or more, averaging 13.2 Mmcfe/d over their first 60 days of production. The four wells on production greater than 90 days have averaged 8.8 Mmcfe/d over their first 90 days of production. All operated wells to date have been produced utilizing similar production practices. During 2009, Petrohawk will conduct a pilot program on certain wells whereby production practices will be altered to restrict production by utilizing smaller choke sizes. The Company will monitor this subset of wells for effects on decline rate and mechanical operation.

Petrohawk's current drilling and completion methodology focuses on completing wells with longer laterals and maximizing the number of frac stages, spaced approximately 325 feet apart. The objective of this technique is to minimize the total number of wells required to effectively drain the reservoir, resulting in lower overall development costs. The Company is currently targeting lateral lengths between 4,300' and 4,600' with up to 15 frac stages. Petrohawk's first four completions averaged 3,339' in lateral length with 10 frac stages while the last twelve completions have averaged 3,958' in lateral length and 12 stages (with the exception of the R.E. Smith Jr 32 #3, which had down hole mechanical issues and only six frac stages).

During 2008, the Company utilized a "pre-drill" program whereby smaller, "spudder" rigs drilled the vertical portion of the wellbore in advance of horizontal rigs moving in to drill the lateral. At year end 2008, Petrohawk had eleven operated horizontal rigs running in the Haynesville Shale. The Company expects spud-to-first sales to average approximately 75 days during 2009, assuming longer laterals are drilled.

Petrohawk has budgeted $690 million for Haynesville Shale drilling in 2009. Seventy-five to eighty gross operated wells are budgeted, with approximately 6 wells expected to be completed per month. The Company expects to operate an average of 12 rigs in the play in 2009 with an emphasis on holding operated acreage.

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Link to complete article: http://in.sys-con.com/node/828165
KB, sorry but I am not quite following you. The wells have not been fraced too hard and Petrohawk is actually planning to increase the frac stages to 15. The Sample 4 #1 experienced an issue not related to the frac job that damaged the casing. This has caused Petrohawk to flow the well at a reduced rate of 5.4 MMcfde.
In the 2/3/09 Petrohawk 4th Quarter report from Newswire, Petroawk reported that they drilled a total of 739 wells during the 2008 year. Of those wells they had a 98 percent success ratio. So out of 739 wells drilled only 14 were non-commercial!

So much for the "risky business" argument all the O&Gs would have you believe. These figures---Petrohawk's figures, not mine--indicate the exact opposite result. This is an indication of how definitive the 3-D seismic survey technology has become.

The moral here is to "visit" these 98 percent success ratios on the landman during the lease negotiation process. Don't fall for their spiel that their O&G clients don't know what's under your property---they damn well know or they wouldn't be seeking your minerals. Oil and gas production is about profit and so-called "numbers". And they prefer their numbers to be as large as possible and yours as small as possible. Remember Petrohawk hits 98 of every 100 wells drilled. (Chesapeake, Goodrich, Cabot and XTO all report similar success ratios as well)

Current low gas prices won't last forever--the curtailed drilling programs will reduce reserves and drive the price up again.
What they did not mention in the press release was the Sample #9, flow tested at 23mmcf/d at just over 7000psi.

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