US Shale Discovery Bonanza Is Over - Chesapeake CEO

by  Ryan Dezember

Dow Jones Newswires 10/14/2010
URL: http://www.rigzone.com/news/article.asp?a_id=100024

HOUSTON (Dow Jones Newswires), Oct. 14, 2010


Chesapeake's Chief Executive Aubrey McClendon said that most significant natural gas and oil shale fields in the U.S. have already been found, and that investors shouldn't hold their breath for major new
discoveries.


"If you decided, I'm going to pass on the Barnett, pass on the Haynesville, pass on the Marcellus, and you were going to wait for the next four or five--there won't be any," McClendon said Wednesday during the company's annual meeting with analysts, referring to tight, hydrocarbons-rich rock formations in Texas, Louisiana and the U.S. Northeast, respectively. "By the end of 2011 it will be over. There won't be any basins that have escaped investigation." The comments come three days after Chesapeake agreed to sell a third of its interest in south Texas' Eagle Ford shale formation to Chinese state-run Cnooc for $2.16 billion in cash and drilling funding.


Shale formations were believed to be impractical sources of fossil fuels until recent years. Technological advances in hydraulic fracturing--shattering the rocks to allow oil and gas to seep from the cracks--and horizontal drilling have unlocked vast reserves and prompted international companies to scramble for entry into the field pioneered by independent firms like Oklahoma City-based Chesapeake.


McClendon said Chesapeake will continue to court joint venture partners for its interests, including those in the Niobrara shale in northeast Colorado and the Permian Basin in west Texas. And Chesapeake may sell its expertise to other companies considering shale plays overseas. But Chesapeake isn't planning any foreign investments, McClendon said. "We aren't going to Poland, we aren't going to Canada," he said. "In terms of spending Chesapeake capital overseas, I don't see it."


Instead, McClendon pledged that Chesapeake, which he co-founded and took public in 1993, would shift its focus from natural gas to become a major oil producer. Natural gas prices have been in a prolonged slump due in part to the glut of supply created by the shale frenzy. But gasoline-like condensate, which trades on par with oil, is abundant in many shale formations--although not in volumes that could drive the price of oil down. "We sit on 10 [billion] to 15 billion barrels of oil that will change the valuation of this company over time," McClendon said.

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Jay:

Do you know if they have finished up most of the Hackberry play in S. Beauregard? And as far as the Wilcox, are they finding anything of a reservoirwide size, or mostly just 40/160 units resolved off of the seismic shot during the Austin Chalk play?
SH, nope. It's not the depth of a gas prospect that determines whether to drill horizontally. It's the permeability of the formation. Where a formation is sufficiently permeable, it's more economic to drill vertical wells which are considerably less expensive than horizontals.
Never mind. I looked harder at the permit, and see where they show a completion depth of 7,018 ft (love that precision) but a total depth of 16,500 ft. Looks like they are going the cheap route.
At 7,018', it may be an oil well. Or if it is gas, it may be "wet" gas.

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