Just when we thought US natural gas production was declining, the lower 48 rate increased in April according to recent EIA information. April's production was up by 0.6 Bcfd to 72.5 Bcfd after declining over February and March by 0.8 Bcfd or 1.1%. Texas (+0.4 Bcfd), Other States (+0.4 Bcfd) and Oklahoma (0.1 Bcfd) all had increased production.
April's production is also 4.6% higher year-over-year. Only GOM (-16.5%), Wyoming (-4.3% and New Mexico (-2.7%) had lower production rates than April 2011.
Louisiana natural gas production has decreased 0.9 Bcfd since November 2011 but decreased only 0.1 Bcfd in April.
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In the LA Haynesville as of the end of June (July 2 report date) there were only 26 wells being drilled. However there were 315 wells Waiting On Completion or in Completion Operations. That is about 13% of the total HA wells drilled since the play began in 2008.
http://dnr.louisiana.gov/assets/OC/haynesville_shale/haynesville_mo...
Skip, actually there only 18 wells being drilled in the Louisiana portion of the Haynesville/Bossier Shale play at the end of June.
The DNR's count for WOC wells looks overstated also as the number is closer to 250 or ~ 9.4% of the total wells.
Les, I'm less interested in an exact number as I am the significant back log of wells not completed and turned to sales. Whether 12.89% or 9.4% it's still a large percentage of total wells that are not on line yet.
WR, I believe the primary contributing factor is the continued high level of activity in gas drilling that has associated condensate and natural gas liquids production. This is evidenced by the gas wells being drilled in the Marcellus Shale and Granite Wash plus the rich gas areas of the Eagle Ford Shale, Barnett Shale and Woodford/Cana Shale. The drilling in the Eagle Ford Shale and Barnett Shale oil windows is also contributing but to a lesser extent.
Production was also increasing in the dry gas area of the Marcellus Shale and the Fayetteville Shale. I will take a closer look at Arkansas and Texas to update my information.
Les, from a storage perspective even though production is increasing it appears as if demand is also up even if via the displacement of coal. From a short term outlook it appears as if the heightened storage levels are and can be trimmed down by the fall/winter with companies curtailing supply and not bringing wells on line. Does the data you have raise any concerns that might alter the storage levels coming down to more historical levels?
Business--------------------------Per the Texas RRC Texas nat gas April 2012 down ~ 37 BCF from April 2011
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