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12 million dollar cost of a well, paying $4.00 for gas will pay out in four months.
Ya Right, try again. I/my company am involved in several CHK HA wells. We are looking at about a 3-4 year payout, if we are lucky. One well has already declined 93% after 17 months, and still dropping.
rule of thumb or something like it:
a 12 million dollar cost of a well, paying $4.00 for gas will pay out in four months.
Roy, it's posts like your that harm people and I'm calling you on it. That is utterly ridiculous. I know what you just said is utter b.s. cuz I have looked at the wells just like you can do, and 99% of all wells are not anything close to that good.
It is often difficult for laymen members to ascertain whether a member posting a comment is, or is not, an "expert". That's why Keith has a disclaimer. Partial excerpt:
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In this case the members objecting to the accuracy of the statement, "a 12 million dollar cost of a well, paying $4.00 for gas will pay out in four months" are correct IMO and do a service to all the members by pointing out that it is not accurate and should not be used in making any decisions in the management of minerals.
In fairness to Mr. Smith I would also point out that some discussions in 2008 reported wells paying out in four months however those examples were wells with far greater than the average Haynesville Shale well production and that the price of natural gas at the time was three or more times what it is today. Caution should be applied when reading archived discussions or discussion threads that may reach back over three years. It is helpful to note the date on the posted comment.
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Posted by Char on May 29, 2025 at 14:42 — 4 Comments
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