Chesapeake is often criticized for its financial decisions and aggressive techniques to develop natural gas and oil. In plain and direct terms, this article analyzes each decision and the result is surprising. What are your thoughts?
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CNBC's Mad Money show came out with strong buys for CHK and other natural gas companies. Aubrey was a guest on the show and talked about CHK's switch to oil plus natgas. Here is the link to the post I made about it on Nov 16. Let's see if Mad Man Cramer is right.
http://www.gohaynesvilleshale.com/forum/topics/cnbc-mad-money-comes...
To add to my previous post, here's another Seeking Alpha article on CHK, and whether or not DVN is a better buy....
http://seekingalpha.com/article/298637-5-reasons-devon-energy-is-a-...
Not that I agree with all he says. You just have to be careful with Seeking Alpha, and use your judgment on most of their articles.
Read the disclosure at the end: "I am long CHK."
Having said that, I will agree that CHK did very well with its JVs. However, the company took on a tremendous amount of risk to get there. Do I want that much risk in my publicly traded company? No. But that's a personal decision. Others may want to take that risk in the hope of a big reward. I think the jury is still out, as to the reward. Certainly the potential is there if oil/gas prices rise. But if oil/gas prices rise, I think I can be rewarded by other more stable companies, with less risk on the table.
currently my main criticism of chk is the subsidiary shuffle that is used to justify paying royalties based on the lowest rates of any operator in the area. that is not good pr and certainly makes your job much more difficult.
as far as the article goes, yes chk has been a shale pioneer... but i do not for one second think that most of these JV's and asset sales would have been done unless it was absolutely necessary for operating capital/debt purposes. i own chk at a dollar cost average of about $15 a share, i'm not sure why i would buy more now. it is likely to be on sale again in the future. but then again everything might be on sale all at once and chk is back in the same boat if that happens.
long term, i think chk's assets will be worth more and more, but i also think perhaps chk needs to pay down debt with cash flow, not by selling off assets piece by piece? either way, as long as they can stay afloat long enough, we'll eventually see increased domestic demand in addition to the emergence of a global LNG market which should bring up north american gas prices sufficiently to curtail the necessity of any further asset liquidation.
Comment/Question:
Some "contributors" get "paid" for their "promotions" of "certain" stocks...
This "contributor" always "pumping" CHK...no matter what the stock looks like, tanks, drags, or eeks up on the tails of an "up" day in the Market or eeks "down" in a "down" day in the market. Read more of "Devon Shire's" contributions and then "thoughts" will be clearer. CHK is still $10+ Billion in the red. I know former CHK stockholders who wouldn't touch CHK with a....One can finish that "thought" with anything they like...
DrWAVeSport Cd1 10/10/2011
Shale drilling and lithium extraction are seemingly distinct activities, but there is a growing connection between the two as the world moves towards cleaner energy solutions. While shale drilling primarily targets…
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AboutAs exciting as this is, we know that we have a responsibility to do this thing correctly. After all, we want the farm to remain a place where the family can gather for another 80 years and beyond. This site was born out of these desires. Before we started this site, googling "shale' brought up little information. Certainly nothing that was useful as we negotiated a lease. Read More |
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